This time for Weir
February 17th 2009 19:45
Am I hot or what? If you’re a regular to this blog or a first timer who’s stumbled across it, check out the previous blog and, if you’re into golf, tell your mates.
After all, it’s not every week someone will predict the quinella in a PGA Tour event – but that’s exactly what I managed last week when Dustin Johnson beat Mike Weir in the weather-wrecked Pebble Beach pro-am.
It’s hard enough tipping the winner of a tournament, let alone the first two, so I hope some of you picked up some decent cash off Johnson who was at odds of 60-1 or better pre-tournament.
I wasn’t quite so hot at the European Tour event in Malaysia where two of my bets, Alexander Noren and Louis Oosthuizen, both tied for seventh with Simon Dyson in the top-20.
Still, we can’t rest on our laurels and those who missed out on Johnson last week, will want a winner this week at the FBR Open.
This is a tournament that throws up the same names year after year as contenders – Phil Mickelson, Robert Allenby, Rory Sabbatini, Adam Scott all have great records here. But to my mind, as I’ve said all year, Phil’s game is not there and I’ll be ignoring him. Part of me wonder whether Phil has mentally packed it in because Tiger is not around or whether he’s trying to work his game into some sort of shape for the Masters … anyway, I’ll avoid him for another week.
Allenby hasn’t played yet this year. He had a busy summer in Australia and this is his first start in the US so I’ll skip him as well; hopefully on his time off he’s been working on his putting which was woeful last year.
A guy I do like is Mike Weir. He’s had a second and a third so far this year and has won this tournament twice before, going back to back in 04-05 before relative failures in recent years. He’s back in his best form so I’m predicting his predisposition towards this course will pay dividends.
Luke Donald’s name has popped up a couple of times this year in my tipping and I’m sticking with him because I reckon a win is not far away.
You might not know the game Jeff Quinney but he has had two starts at this course for a ninth and a second last year to Mickelson. He started the season in shoddy form but showed signs of a comeback with a 22nd at Pebble Beach so back to a course on which he’s proven, he can be in the mix.
Finally, against my better judgement I’m going to back Lucas Glover. This guys has an OK record here and has had a great start to the season. I used to think he was pea-hearted with a frail temperament but something tells me he might have turned his head around and I’ll risk him again.
So in Four: Weir, Donald, Quinney and Glover.
In Australia there’s a hot field for the Johnnie Walker Classic at the Vines in Perth.
There are four or five really obvious candidates such as Anthony Kim, Camilo Villegas, Ian Poulter and Paul Casey.
I really like Villegas, I think the Vines, which is a real risk-reward course will suit him and he’s in form.
Australian Richard Green is another in-form player who has done well on this layout previously.
For my other two picks I’m steering away from the favourites to look for some value and I find these in Englishman Anthony Wall, whom I’ve tipped a lot but who has been ultra-consistent this year and deserves a breakthrough win.
And I also like Australian Marcus Fraser. His form in Europe/Asia has been reliable and he’s a guy who can surprise at odds of 50-1.
After all, it’s not every week someone will predict the quinella in a PGA Tour event – but that’s exactly what I managed last week when Dustin Johnson beat Mike Weir in the weather-wrecked Pebble Beach pro-am.
It’s hard enough tipping the winner of a tournament, let alone the first two, so I hope some of you picked up some decent cash off Johnson who was at odds of 60-1 or better pre-tournament.
I wasn’t quite so hot at the European Tour event in Malaysia where two of my bets, Alexander Noren and Louis Oosthuizen, both tied for seventh with Simon Dyson in the top-20.
Still, we can’t rest on our laurels and those who missed out on Johnson last week, will want a winner this week at the FBR Open.
This is a tournament that throws up the same names year after year as contenders – Phil Mickelson, Robert Allenby, Rory Sabbatini, Adam Scott all have great records here. But to my mind, as I’ve said all year, Phil’s game is not there and I’ll be ignoring him. Part of me wonder whether Phil has mentally packed it in because Tiger is not around or whether he’s trying to work his game into some sort of shape for the Masters … anyway, I’ll avoid him for another week.
Allenby hasn’t played yet this year. He had a busy summer in Australia and this is his first start in the US so I’ll skip him as well; hopefully on his time off he’s been working on his putting which was woeful last year.
A guy I do like is Mike Weir. He’s had a second and a third so far this year and has won this tournament twice before, going back to back in 04-05 before relative failures in recent years. He’s back in his best form so I’m predicting his predisposition towards this course will pay dividends.
Luke Donald’s name has popped up a couple of times this year in my tipping and I’m sticking with him because I reckon a win is not far away.
You might not know the game Jeff Quinney but he has had two starts at this course for a ninth and a second last year to Mickelson. He started the season in shoddy form but showed signs of a comeback with a 22nd at Pebble Beach so back to a course on which he’s proven, he can be in the mix.
Finally, against my better judgement I’m going to back Lucas Glover. This guys has an OK record here and has had a great start to the season. I used to think he was pea-hearted with a frail temperament but something tells me he might have turned his head around and I’ll risk him again.
So in Four: Weir, Donald, Quinney and Glover.
In Australia there’s a hot field for the Johnnie Walker Classic at the Vines in Perth.
There are four or five really obvious candidates such as Anthony Kim, Camilo Villegas, Ian Poulter and Paul Casey.
I really like Villegas, I think the Vines, which is a real risk-reward course will suit him and he’s in form.
Australian Richard Green is another in-form player who has done well on this layout previously.
For my other two picks I’m steering away from the favourites to look for some value and I find these in Englishman Anthony Wall, whom I’ve tipped a lot but who has been ultra-consistent this year and deserves a breakthrough win.
And I also like Australian Marcus Fraser. His form in Europe/Asia has been reliable and he’s a guy who can surprise at odds of 50-1.
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