Tiger burns less brightly
June 11th 2008 01:57
This is just a quick update ahead of the US Open which tees off in just over 24 hours.
Judging by the comments from those close to the action and a drift in the betting markets, the vibe around Tiger Woods is that he won’t win the US Open.
One American writer went as far as to say Woods might not make the cut – this is based on the fact Woods has yet to even walk 18 holes of on his knee, which recovered from surgery less quickly than he wanted.
Without a lead-in tournament to judge his form and health, Woods is at the best price he’s ever been for a major. Right now you can get $4 for him for a $1 bet. He’s eased at least a dollar in some markets since word started filtering back from San Diego that he may not be in his best nick. He may have won at Torrey Pines for four years running when it was a US PGA Tour stop, but this is a whole different kettle of fish.
The money has come in for Phil Mickelson (although I worry if he'll get too intense about winning this tournament on what is effectively his home track), Sergio Garcia and Stewart Cink, and there’s been some speculative bets on Robert Allenby at around 50-1, in from earlier quotes of 60-1 or even 80-1.
I’ve been warming to Cink for a while. Regular readers of this blog will know I tipped him to cap off a pretty good form streak earlier this year but instead he tapered away a tad.
But he’s played well at Torrey Pines in the past, has a US Open-style game and can handle the length of the course.
I’m prepared to tip against Tiger at this stage and go with my original tips of Luke Donald, Garcia, Allenby and Mickelson but with Cink favoured over Woods.
If you’re looking for a roughie, Jeff Quinney has a great game for tough tournaments and at 125-1 might sneak a top-five.
Back with more after round one.
Judging by the comments from those close to the action and a drift in the betting markets, the vibe around Tiger Woods is that he won’t win the US Open.
One American writer went as far as to say Woods might not make the cut – this is based on the fact Woods has yet to even walk 18 holes of on his knee, which recovered from surgery less quickly than he wanted.
Without a lead-in tournament to judge his form and health, Woods is at the best price he’s ever been for a major. Right now you can get $4 for him for a $1 bet. He’s eased at least a dollar in some markets since word started filtering back from San Diego that he may not be in his best nick. He may have won at Torrey Pines for four years running when it was a US PGA Tour stop, but this is a whole different kettle of fish.
The money has come in for Phil Mickelson (although I worry if he'll get too intense about winning this tournament on what is effectively his home track), Sergio Garcia and Stewart Cink, and there’s been some speculative bets on Robert Allenby at around 50-1, in from earlier quotes of 60-1 or even 80-1.
I’ve been warming to Cink for a while. Regular readers of this blog will know I tipped him to cap off a pretty good form streak earlier this year but instead he tapered away a tad.
But he’s played well at Torrey Pines in the past, has a US Open-style game and can handle the length of the course.
I’m prepared to tip against Tiger at this stage and go with my original tips of Luke Donald, Garcia, Allenby and Mickelson but with Cink favoured over Woods.
If you’re looking for a roughie, Jeff Quinney has a great game for tough tournaments and at 125-1 might sneak a top-five.
Back with more after round one.
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