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Herron now

October 22nd 2008 20:25
Well, what a disappointment it was last week at the Portugal Masters. If you recall I tipped Robert Karlsson, Ross Fisher and Alexander Noren.

Going into the final round, Fisher and Karlsson were tied for second behind Spaniard Alvaro Quiros and they looked poised to deliver us a great result but Quiros cleared out and my hot tips had to settle for a tie for second, with Noren proving a good dark horse by moving into a tie for 11th. Not a bad tipping effort but not the result I was after.

It wasn’t quite the same story on the PGA Tour, where top tip Tim Herron overcame a slow start by shooting the lights out in the final round in Las Vegas, a 10-under par 61 which had him as the clubhouse leader on the final day at 21-under par. But that was never going to be enough and he eventually tied for sixth behind Marc Turnesa.


This week I’m sticking with Herron at the Frys.com Open in Phoenix. He’s now had three top-10s in his past four starts and seems ready to cash in on some good form.

I also like Aussie Mark Hensby. He’s finished 15th, 30th and 24th at his last three starts; his most consistent form streak of a disappointing season. Given that he finished second to Mike Weir at the Frys.com Open last year, this suggests he’s good value as he’s at reasonable odds.

Another guy at long odds, over 100-1 to win is Eric Axley. The lefthander had three top-10s through the middle of the year including a ninth at the US Open but then his form tailed away. But he bounced back with a 36th placing last week which could be a momentum starter.

In Europe, we have a new tournament in Spain, the Castello Masters, so there’s no track record to draw on apart from the fact the event is at a course that Sergio Garcia grew up playing. That makes Garcia a hot favourite to win but he’s at pretty skinny odds. I’ll make him one of my picks but I’ll be looking for value further afield.


One guy from left field is England’s Anthony Wall. He’s a guy who seems to be slight head case in that he can play brilliantly but erratically. Of late, however, he has been as consistent as he’s ever been in his career with four top-10s and a tie for 13th in his past six starts. If he can’t capitalise on that form, he never will.

And the other player I really like is young Rory McIlroy, who has back-to-back top-10s coming into this week. He will win soon.

73
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